Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+


	Grimsby Town		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	4.7	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.6	1.86
	4.56	3.51	1.88
	4.2	3.3	1.78
	4.3	3.65	1.83	Watch
	4.1	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (4.09)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
22%

Draw
26.5%

Luton Town
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.4%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	21.7%	60.9%

Grimsby Town - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Luton will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.

Grimsby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luton is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
04.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
English League Two
14.01.23	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Grimsby Town - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.23	Grimsby Town - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLWW
- Luton Town
English League Championship
04.02.23	Luton Town - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Luton Town - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
English League Championship
21.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
28.01.23	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:2
English League Two
27.01.18	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	0:1
23.12.17	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	2:0
04.02.17	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	1:1
10.09.16	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	1:2
English National League
25.03.14	Grimsby Town - Luton Town	1:2
07.09.13	Luton Town - Grimsby Town	0:0

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