Match Info

Virsliga - Round 14

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Grobiņas pilsētas stadions (Grobina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	Grobiņa		Super Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.56	3.25	2.7
	2.58	3.18	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.47	3.08	2.61	Watch
	2.38	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.66 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobiņa
36.4%

Draw
29.4%

Super Nova
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Grobiņa - Super Nova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Super Nova (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 27. Baravykas R. 7. Krautmanis J. 29. Matyushenko I. 23. Fjodorovs M. 9. Kholod A. 87. Ribeiro J. 11. Rascevskis O. 99. Puzirevskis A.	90. Veisbuks D. (G) 20. Ndiaye I. 25. Oss M. (C) 5. Cirulis J. 6. Emsis E. 24. Sitjakovs R. 14. Facu 9. Bamba 21. Tihonovics M. 7. Glaudans A. 10. Lizunovs V.
Substitutes
13. Aruna A. 17. Bethers R. 10. Dobrecovs D. 19. Gaucis R. 33. Laizans T. (G) 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 12. Pincuks N. (G) 25. Sirbu D. 20. Yamada H.	29. Baghdasaryan A. 19. Grikovs A. 3. Iida R. 27. Pathe N. 16. Romanovs K. 22. Skadmanis K. 18. Vasilevskis M. 13. Vilkovs S. (G)
Coaches
Klava O.	Rafalskis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Rascevskis O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Ribeiro J. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
67', Kholod A. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
69', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
72', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,
73', Fjodorovs M. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
79', Facu 🟨,
80', Krautmanis J. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
81', Bamba ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
81', Glaudans A. ↓, Grikovs A. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Grikovs A. ⚽,
86', Veisbuks D. 🟨,
90+3', Facu ↓, Baghdasaryan A. ↑,
90+3', Tihonovics M. ↓, Iida R. ↑,
90+4', Matyushenko I. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:31. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:18. (average 0.2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	29:40	-11	35
8	Grobina	31	5	11	15	21:52	-31	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
15.05.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:3 ✺
11.05.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	7:0 ✺
02.05.26	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	Liepāja - Grobiņa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLTT
- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
16.05.26	Super Nova - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Super Nova - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
09.04.26	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:1
18.10.25	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:0
26.07.25	Super Nova - Grobiņa	0:0
26.05.25	Grobiņa - Super Nova	1:1
10.04.25	Super Nova - Grobiņa	1:1
Latvian 1 Liga
29.08.21	Super Nova - Grobiņa	2:1
08.08.20	Super Nova - Grobiņa	2:1

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