Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.5	10.5
	1.19	5.8	13
	1.25	5.4	10
	1.24	6	13.63
	1.25	5	12
	1.23	5.8	11.75	Watch
	1.25	5.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	5.59 ↑ (4.39)	11.7 ↑ (8.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
75.4%

Draw
16.7%

Brusque
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.1%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

20.1%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	7.1%	17.9%

Grêmio - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Brusque will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Grêmio is Qualified for Serie A

Brusque is Relegated to Serie C (First stage)

Grêmio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brusque is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is certain favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Edilson (Injury) Guilherme Augusto (Injury) Pedro Geromel (Injury) Thaciano (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Franklin Mascote (Injury) Ianson (Injury) Ze Mateus (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.22	Tombense - Grêmio	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Grêmio - Bahia	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Londrina - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.22	Brusque - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
18.10.22	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
13.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Bahia - Brusque	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Brusque - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.07.22	Brusque - Grêmio	1:1

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