Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: de Freitas Castro A. L. (Bra)


	Bahia		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.45	7
	1.54	3.7	6
	1.56	3.82	7.5
	1.55	3.5	6.5
	1.52	3.9	6.4	Watch
	1.55	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)	6.41 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
60.3%

Draw
25.2%

Brusque
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.7%	8.1%	16.2%

Bahia - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Brusque will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Bahia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brusque has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brusque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bahia have a series of guest games.

In this match Bahia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Bahia	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Chapecoense - Bahia	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Bahia - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
12.09.22	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:0 ✺
08.09.22	Criciúma - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Brusque - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Brusque - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Ituano - Brusque	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Brusque - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
09.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.06.22	Brusque - Bahia	0:2

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