Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Soares de Azevedo (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Alves Junior P. R. (Bra)


	Tombense		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.87
	2.6	2.9	2.8
	2.46	2.95	2.9
	2.62	2.92	3.24
	2.5	2.88	3
	2.48	2.96	3.04	Watch
	2.48	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (4.81)	2.94 ↓ (3.17)	2.96 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
37%

Draw
31.6%

Grêmio
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

29%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

29.1%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	38.1%	28.6%

Tombense - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Tombense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grêmio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Tombense: Luan Rodrigues (Injury) Nene Bonilha (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.10.22	Chapecoense - Tombense	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Tombense - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Tombense - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
04.10.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Tombense	4:3 ✺
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
23.10.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Grêmio - Bahia	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Londrina - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Grêmio - Tombense	3:0

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