Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, Inter


	Grêmio		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	13	Watch
	1.16	7.25	18
	1.17	6.5	15	Watch
	1.19	6.55	14.05
	1.2	6.56	15.31	Watch
	1.15	7	19
	1.23	6.27	12.5	Watch
	1.17	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.17)	6.61 ↑ (6.42)	15.23 ↓ (17.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
79.5%

Draw
14.3%

Sportivo Luqueño
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

14.6%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Grêmio - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Grando (G) 25. Lucas Esteves 21. Jemerson (C) 44. Viery 14. Nathan 35. Ronald 15. Camilo Reijers 16. Aravena A. 53. Gustavo Martins 7. Pavon C. 19. Arezo M.	1. Mongelos F. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 5. Villalba A. (C) 6. Marchio J. 21. Pasadore F. 14. Benitez F. 16. Benitez A. 31. Paredes Filippini J. 33. Alborno R. 7. Pereira K. 11. Vera E.
Substitutes
77. Andre Henrique 58. Bernardo Zortea 10. Cristaldo F. 17. Dodi 65. Freitas dos Santos R. 40. Jardiel 31. Jorge (G) 99. Olivera C. 42. Smiley 24. Thiago Beltrame (G) 20. Villasanti M. 3. Wagner Leonardo	17. Ayala W. 27. Baez J. 37. Comas L. 35. Gaona H. (G) 9. Gonzalez W. 28. Jimenez M. 15. Maldonado S. 24. Parra A. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J. 4. Suarez M. 13. Torres I.
Coaches
Mano Menezes	Caceres J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Arezo M. (Pen),
38', Vera E. 🟥,
41', Nathan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Viery ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
63', Camilo Reijers ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
63', Nathan ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
63', Aravena A. ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
69', Pereira K. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Freitas dos Santos R. ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
76', Arezo M. ↓, Jardiel ↑,
80', Benitez A. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
83', Alborno R. ↓, Torres I. ↑,
85', Benitez F. 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.

In this match, Grêmio is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Grêmio - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.25	São Paulo - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Grêmio - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLTT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.05.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio	1:2

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