Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.61	3.45	5.6
	1.6	3.55	5.4
	1.62	3.63	6.87
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.61	3.65	5.7	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	3.54 ↑ (3.15)	5.78 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
57.7%

Draw
26.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

29.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16).

Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novorizontino is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Giovanni (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vasco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:3 ✺
29.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:1 ✺
21.09.22	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
16.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	4:1 ✺
11.09.22	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLWL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Bahia	1:1 ✺
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
20.09.22	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
07.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vasco da Gama	2:0

Upcoming Matches