Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)


	Guaraní Asuncion		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.28	3.25	3.15
	2.35	3.25	3.2
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.31	3.28	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.09)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
40.9%

Draw
29.2%

Emelec
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Guaraní Asuncion - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Guaraní is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emelec is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Guaraní have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.04.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
13.04.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.04.23	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
23.04.23	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Emelec - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.23	Emelec - El Nacional	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	SD Aucas - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL

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