Match Info

Date: 5 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Sao Paulo)


	Ituano		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.1
	3.55	2.9	2.12
	3.55	2.95	2.12
	3.95	3.08	2.19
	3.6	3	2.15
	4.05	3.02	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
25.1%

Draw
31.1%

Cruzeiro
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

31.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	47.8%	30.4%

Ituano - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 10 - 21.7%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.4% – 62.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cruzeiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.22	Ituano - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
28.06.22	Guarani - Ituano	0:2 ✺
17.06.22	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Brusque - Ituano	0:1 ✺
07.06.22	Ituano - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.22	Cruzeiro - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
28.06.22	Cruzeiro - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.06.22	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.22	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
12.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

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