Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Guaraní Asuncion		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.58	3.98	6.06	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.59	3.9	6.01	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.45)	4.07 ↓ (4.39)	6.12 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
61.5%

Draw
23.1%

Nacional Potosí
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

21.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

22.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Guaraní (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Servio G. (G) 37. Perez D. 14. Vargas G. 24. Patino Martinez J. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 32. Cantero A. 36. Martinez L. 20. Maidana A. 8. Maiz A. 40. Fernandez F. 10. Mendieta W.	1. Mustafa S. (G) 4. Roca C. 6. Restrepo E. 26. Echeverria S. 18. Azogue P. 11. Rojas J. 21. Baldomar O. 22. Hoyos D. 30. Johan Bocanegra 19. Abrego V. 20. Prost M.
Substitutes
11. Barrientos N. 16. Cespedes V. 4. Ibarrola W. 5. Lopez M. 6. Marecos G. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 35. Pereira A. 21. Pinatares B. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J. 19. Romero A. 17. Torales Richard	3. Acuna M. 29. Alvarez W. 33. Demiquel L. 24. Diellos D. 23. Galindo P. (G) 27. Garcia A. 17. Guerra S. 28. Palacio D. 8. Pavia L. 10. Preciado C. 7. Torres S. 16. Torrico A.
Coaches
Arce F.	Vigevani C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Patino Martinez J. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roca C. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
46', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
46', Servio G. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
46', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
54', Torrico A. 🟨,
57', Prost M. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
58', Azogue P. 🟨,
71', Mendieta W. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,
72', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
80', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
81', Maiz A. 🟨,
85', Maiz A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
88', Pavia L. 🟨,
90+4', Hoyos D. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Guaraní is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Boston River - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
23.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWT
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTW

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