Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.35	2.8	3.05
	2.38	2.95	3.05
	2.53	3.04	3.24
	2.35	2.9	3.2
	2.42	3.18	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)	2.97 ↓ (3)	3.1 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
39.1%

Draw
31.1%

Guaraní Asuncion
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

20.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
19.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	0:1 ✺
11.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
08.12.20	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
20.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.12.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
18.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
21.04.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0

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