The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guayaquil City 68.5%
Draw 19.5%
22 de Julio 12%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
26.9%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
26.6%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 22 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 22 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Guayaquil City - 22 de Julio Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). 22 de Julio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Naula A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 1 - 1, S. Ortiz ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Mairongo J. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Mero E. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Guayaquil City is the undisputed favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Ecuador
Watch
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