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Current Win Probability
Libertad Loja 25.1%
Draw 26.9%
Independiente del Valle 48%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
24.4%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
23.6%
57.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (C) 17. Patta E. 6. Caicedo B. 5. Gruezo C. 19. Quinonez O. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 70. Branda V. 63. Valencia C. 80. Pineda Arana X. E. 49. Coronel D. 33. Chere A.
1. Quintana A. (C) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 57. Quintero H. 56. Quintero E. 16. Briones R. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 52. Vasquez Y.
Substitutes
30. Bravo J. 27. Bueno S. 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 66. Estacio J. 23. Guisamano J. 25. Lucas M. 1. Mina P. (G) 7. Orejuela C. 99. Ramirez C.
6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 20. Gomez A. 18. Gongora S. 32. Mendez J. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 99. Reasco D. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 10. Sornoza J.
Coaches
Buch J. P.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Perello M. ⚽, Vasquez Y. (A),
29', Pineda Arana X. E. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
29', Coronel D. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
34', 0 - 2, Vasquez Y. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Cortez Casierra G. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 2, Branda V. ⚽, Chere A. (A),
60', Quintero E. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
60', Quintero H. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
62', Estacio J. 🟨,
65', Espinoza J. 🟨,
68', Quinonez O. 🟨,
69', Briones R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
69', Perello M. ↓, Gongora S. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Gongora S. ⚽, Quintana H. (A),
76', Quinonez O. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
82', Ochoa Y. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
84', Branda V. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
84', Valencia C. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
90', Espinoza J. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of home games.
Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
Watch
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Cabezas D. (C) 
Quintana A. (C) 
Viacava J. 
Perello M. 
Quintana H. 
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