Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 22

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guayaquil City		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.96	Watch
	3.20	3.20	2.00
	3.75	3.30	1.95	Watch
	3.83	3.31	2.06
	3.54	3.29	2.09	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.03
	3.74	3.22	2.04	Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.95)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
25.5%

Draw
28.5%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perea R. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 19. Naula A. 80. Gonzalez P. 10. Diaz D. (C) 11. Mero E.	12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 30. Mejia E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 15. Moreno L. 9. Londono A. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
23. Bolanos M. 51. Cabezas E. 21. Dorregaray D. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 70. Mancilla P. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K. 25. Sanchez E. (G) 28. Vivar J.	29. Anangono G. 5. Cacciabue J. 20. Chala J. 8. Clavijo E. 37. Medina C. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 22. Romo R. (G) 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Gavilanez P.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz D. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
57', Gonzalez P. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
66', Quinonez J. ↓, Ladines Calvache E. P. ↑,
71', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
76', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
76', Martinez F. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
76', Alonso M. ↓, Anangono G. ↑,
88', Mero E. ↓, Bolanos M. ↑,
90+1', Londono A. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Uni Católica is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.07.26	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Guayaquil City - Delfín	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTWL
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Leones del Norte - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
06.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	4:1
11.08.23	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0
05.03.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	3:0
17.07.22	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0
26.02.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	1:1
21.08.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	1:1
21.03.21	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2

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