Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Guillermo Brown		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.00	4.75
	1.74	3.05	4.90
	1.71	3.17	5.27
	1.83	3.08	5.05	Watch
	1.64	3.10	5.22
	1.78	3.00	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.04)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)	5.02 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
52.3%

Draw
29.6%

Círculo Deportivo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

31.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guillermo Brown's performance.

Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Círculo Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guillermo Brown that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Círculo Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grinovero A. (G) 2. Alvarez A. 11. Ayala E. 9. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 10. Goiburu E. 4. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 5. Silva F. 7. Zapulla I.	1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Banchio R. 7. Barberini V. 11. Bassani J. 3. Buscaglia S. 5. Grahl F. 9. Iriberri I. (C) 10. Juarez R. 2. Martinez J. 4. Torres C. 6. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
17. Bravo I. 14. Conde M. 20. Dezi L. 18. Esmay V. 19. Hang F. 16. Silva A. 12. Ullua S. (G) 15. Varela N. 13. Villegas F.	13. Aguilar M. 18. Castelli B. 15. Gimenez T. 16. Gomez L. 12. Lerena S. (G) 19. Marin Q. 17. Rius C. 14. Sasso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Mera B. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Guillermo Brown has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guillermo Brown is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTTWT
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:1
10.08.25	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	0:0
29.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	0:0
27.04.25	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	0:1

Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide