Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guingamp		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.36	5.25	7.25
	1.38	4.8	7.4
	1.38	5.19	7.69
	1.37	4.98	7.41	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.5
	1.43	4.61	8.19	Watch
	1.39	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	4.87 ↓ (5.25)	7.56 ↓ (8.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
68.1%

Draw
19.4%

Martigues
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.1%

17.8%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

15.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Guingamp - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Martigues (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 50%). Martigues (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Basilio E. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. (C) 18. Nair S. 6. Vallier L. 21. Ghrieb R. 9. Labeau B. 5. Phiri L. 10. Picard H. 28. Le Bris T. 17. Siwe J.	20. Etile Y. (G) 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 21. Hadjem Y. 26. Belloumou S. (C) 27. Ipiele A. 23. Siby M. 12. Robin M. 29. Mendy O. 14. Moussiti-Oko B.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 36. Demouchy A. 19. Guendouz S. 23. Luvambo T. 30. Niasse B. (G) 26. Riou M. 11. Sagna A.	18. Amraoui A. 50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 6. Kembolo F. 9. Montiel R. 7. Orinel O. 10. Tlili K.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Malek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Labeau B. ⚽, Vallier L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ipiele A. ↓, Amraoui A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Ghrieb R. ⚽, Picard H. (A),
56', 2 - 1, Mendy O. ⚽, Solvet S. (A),
57', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
57', Siby M. ↓, Orinel O. ↑,
64', Solvet S. 🟨,
66', Ghrieb R. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
66', Labeau B. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
73', Hadjem Y. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
73', Robin M. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
75', Falette S. 🟨,
80', Siwe J. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
81', Phiri L. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
81', Vallier L. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
88', Guendouz S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Guingamp is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Injury) Louiserre D. (Yellow Cards) Maronnier L. (Inactive) Mendes J. A. (Inactive) Ndour A. (Injury) Ourega D. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A. (Inactive) Kembolo F. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Martigues: Djaha A. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
18.04.25	Amiens - Guingamp	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Guingamp - Lorient	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Dunkerque - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Guingamp - Laval	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
18.04.25	Caen - Martigues	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Martigues - Metz	1:4 ✺
04.04.25	Rodez - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Martigues - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Martigues - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.12.24	Martigues - Guingamp	0:1

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