Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Martigues		Pau

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.3	2.19
	3.35	3.34	2.29
	3.23	3.36	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.25	3.48	2.19	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.81)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.19 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
29%

Draw
28.1%

Pau
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

28%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.4%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Martigues - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 12. Robin M. 7. Orinel O. 6. Kembolo F. 10. Tlili K. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 27. Ipiele A.	1. Kamara B. (G) 97. Meddah D. 19. Kante 25. Ruiz J. 23. Obiang J. 17. Mille A. 6. Ngom O. 2. Koudou T. 27. Bangre M. 9. Mboup P. 10. Boutaib K.
Substitutes
50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 26. Belloumou S. 11. Diawara A. 22. Djaha A. 9. Montiel R. 23. Siby M.	11. Chahiri M. 18. Diawara K. 26. Evan's J. 12. Gaspar J. 55. Jeannin M. (G) 3. Kalulu J. 4. Kouassi L.X.
Coaches
Malek H.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Tlili K. ⚽, Hadjem Y. (A),
39', Bangre M. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
45+1', Kante 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Diawara K. ⚽, Mboup P. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Boutaib K. (Pen),
65', Obiang J. ↓, Kalulu J. ↑,
65', Koudou T. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
66', Kembolo F. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
66', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
70', Mboup P. 🟨,
75', Ipiele A. ↓, Diawara A. ↑,
75', Orinel O. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
85', Diawara K. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Tlili K. ⚽,
88', Robin M. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
89', Ngom O. 🟨,
90', Ngom O. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).

Recent matches Martigues is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pau will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury)

There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Injury) Kouassi L.X. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Martigues: Saintini N. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
07.03.25	Bastia - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Laval - Martigues	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Martigues - Annecy	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Red Star - Martigues	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Martigues - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
07.03.25	Pau - Troyes	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Pau - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Caen - Pau	2:2 ✺
14.02.25	Pau - Rodez	0:5 ✺
07.02.25	Paris FC - Pau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.09.24	Pau - Martigues	3:0
French National 1 - Group C
30.04.16	Pau - Martigues	3:2

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