Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Martigues		Metz

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.5	1.45	Watch
	7.25	4.6	1.4
	6.6	4.4	1.44
	6.97	4.38	1.44	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.4
	6.46	4.65	1.5	Watch
	6.6	4.4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↓ (7.67)	4.49 ↓ (4.76)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
13.8%

Draw
20.9%

Metz
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

19.7%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

19.1%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	5%	60%

Martigues - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Metz will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metz will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Etile Y. (G) 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. (C) 22. Djaha A. 6. Kembolo F. 10. Tlili K. 7. Orinel O. 12. Robin M. 27. Ipiele A. 9. Montiel R.	29. Bodart A. (G) 22. Van Den Kerkhof K. 38. Sane S. 15. Lo A. 3. Udol M. (C) 7. Hein G. 12. Toure A. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 14. Sabaly C. 19. Bokele Mputu M.
Substitutes
50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 29. Mendy O. 24. Morante L. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 17. Shamal S. 23. Siby M.	2. Colin M. 18. Gueye I. 36. Jallow A. 6. Nduquidi J. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 8. Traore I.
Coaches
Malek H.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Diallo P. A. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Tlili K. ⚽, Ipiele A. (A),
16', 1 - 2, Hein G. (Pen),
21', Saintini N. 🟨,
35', 1 - 3, Hein G. (Pen),
39', Sane S. ↓, Traore I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Kembolo F. 🟨,
56', Kembolo F. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
72', Saintini N. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
72', Montiel R. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
73', Djaha A. ↓, Shamal S. ↑,
75', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
75', Diallo P. A. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
79', Morante L. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Jallow A. ⚽, Sabaly C. (A),
83', Udol M. 🟨,
85', Orinel O. ↓, Siby M. ↑,
90', Sabaly C. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
90+1', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Martigues is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metz is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Metz is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A. (Inactive) Bamba M. (Inactive) Belloumou S. (Red Card) Hadjem Y. (Yellow Cards) Marillat Y. (Injury) Siby M. (Inactive) Zouaoui I. (Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Kouao K. (Red Card) Mboula U. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
04.04.25	Rodez - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Martigues - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Martigues - Pau	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Bastia - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Laval - Martigues	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTLW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
05.04.25	Caen - Metz	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Metz - Troyes	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dunkerque - Metz	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Metz - Annecy	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Amiens - Metz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Metz - Martigues	6:0

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