Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Caen		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.53	4.3	5.4
	1.56	4.55	5.44
	1.54	4.46	5.24	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.6
	1.61	4.16	5.72	Watch
	1.53	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	4.18 ↓ (4.28)	5.26 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
59.5%

Draw
22.5%

Martigues
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Caen - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Caen (votes: 2 - 50%). Martigues (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 27. Gaudin J. 61. Traore B. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 25. Sy L. 14. Rajot L. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 24. Benrahou Y. 21. Grandsir S. 17. Kyeremeh G. 19. Mendy A.	20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 22. Djaha A. 26. Belloumou S. (C) 29. Mendy O. 23. Siby M. 12. Robin M. 27. Ipiele A. 14. Moussiti-Oko B.
Substitutes
23. Autret M. 10. Brahimi B. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 4. Henry V. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 50. Najim I.	50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 9. Montiel R. 24. Morante L. 7. Orinel O. 39. Saintini N. 10. Tlili K.
Coaches
Der Zakarian M.	Malek H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Solvet S. ⚽, Ipiele A. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Mendy O. ⚽, Ipiele A. (A),
34', Djaha A. 🟨,
42', Djaha A. ↓, Saintini N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, Robin M. ⚽, Siby M. (A),
53', Mendy O. 🟨,
54', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
54', Mendy O. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
58', Kyeremeh G. 🟨,
71', Rajot L. ↓, Autret M. ↑,
72', Benrahou Y. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
72', Siby M. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
72', Hadjem Y. ↓, Orinel O. ↑,
73', Sy L. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
86', Gaudin J. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
86', Grandsir S. ↓, Najim I. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Caen is a favorite.

There will not play in Caen: Brahimi B. (Injury) Coulibaly K. (Inactive) Le Bihan M. (Red Card) Lebreton N. (Yellow Cards) Lecoeuche Q. (Inactive) Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A. (Inactive) Marillat Y. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Rodez - Caen	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Caen - Metz	2:2 ✺
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
14.03.25	Amiens - Caen	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Caen - Laval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLLL
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Martigues - Metz	1:4 ✺
04.04.25	Rodez - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Martigues - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Martigues - Pau	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Bastia - Martigues	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Martigues - Caen	0:3

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