Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports


	Paris FC		Red Star

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25	Watch
	1.61	3.9	5.25
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	4.04	5.73
	1.59	4.02	5.34	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.62	4.1	5.21	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.98 ↓ (4.19)	5.35 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
58.8%

Draw
23.6%

Red Star
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Paris FC - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Red Star will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J. 7. Gory A. 12. Dicko N.	40. Risser R. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 2. Meyapya B. 28. Kouagba L. 13. Doucoure F. 26. Dembi F. J. 97. Renel S. 98. Hachem R. 21. Badji A. 29. Benali H. 10. Ifnaoui M.
Substitutes
8. Doucet L. 29. Hamel P. 25. Kore Y. 20. Lopez J. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 6. Soumahoro A.	16. Avognan W. (G) 11. Cisse K. 27. Danger B. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Escartin J. 19. Mbock H.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gory A. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
31', Kolodziejczak T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Gory A. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
58', Dembi F. J. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
58', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
63', Dicko N. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
66', Renel S. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
66', Doucoure F. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Gory A. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
80', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Badji A. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
85', Meyapya B. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
87', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
88', Krasso J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Doucet L. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paris FC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Chergui S. (Knock) Gueye L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q. (Knee Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ajaccio - Paris FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Red Star - Pau	1:3 ✺
10.01.25	Laval - Red Star	1:1 ✺
03.01.25	Rodez - Red Star	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Red Star - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.09.24	Red Star - Paris FC	1:3
10.05.19	Red Star - Paris FC	0:1
21.12.18	Paris FC - Red Star	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
09.08.16	Paris FC - Red Star	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 2
04.04.16	Red Star - Paris FC	2:4
07.11.15	Paris FC - Red Star	0:1
French Ligue 3
14.02.15	Red Star - Paris FC	2:1

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