Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)


	Gwangju		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.1
	2.01	3.35	4.29
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.94	3.36	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	4.08 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
48.6%

Draw
28.5%

Suwon Bluewings
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Gwangju - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim K. (G) 3. Lee Min-Gi 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 44. Lee Soon-Min 22. Lee Sang-Gi 11. Asani J. 14. Jeong Ho-Yeon 16. Lee H. 7. Eom Ji-Seong 30. Thomas 9. Heo Yool	21. Yang Hyung-Mo (G) 5. Hogang H. 66. Kim J. 33. Park Dae-Won 23. Lee Ki-Je (C) 81. Kozuka K. 17. Kim Kyung-Joong 32. Seo Dong-Han 7. Ko Seung-Beom 37. Kim Joo-Chan 36. Myung Jun-Jae
Substitutes
13. Doo Hyun-Seok 10. Kim Han-Gil 4. Kim Seung-Woo 21. Lee Jun (G) 18. Lee Kun-Hee 99. Mikeltadze B. 75. Oh H.	18. Acosty M. 99. An Chan-Gi (G) 4. Bulthuis D. 27. Go M. y. 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 44. Mulic F. 88. Yu Je-Ho
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo	Kim Byung-Soo

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Suwon Bluewings could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gwangju is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
18.08.23	Incheon United - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	Suwon - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Gwangju - Daegu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWT
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 1
18.08.23	Suwon Bluewings - Jeju	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Gangwon - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Suwon Bluewings - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
07.06.23	Gwangju - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
25.02.23	Suwon Bluewings - Gwangju	0:1
11.09.21	Suwon Bluewings - Gwangju	2:2
23.05.21	Gwangju - Suwon Bluewings	3:4
28.02.21	Suwon Bluewings - Gwangju	1:0
25.07.20	Gwangju - Suwon Bluewings	0:1
07.06.20	Suwon Bluewings - Gwangju	0:1

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