Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Tórsvøllur (Torshavn)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)


	HB Tórshavn		Derry City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.6
	2.63	2.9	2.8
	2.65	2.95	2.87
	2.68	3.13	2.73	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	2.78 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HB Tórshavn
35.8%

Draw
30.6%

Derry City
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Tórshavn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HB Tórshavn's form might have worsened.

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derry City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Tórshavn than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HB Tórshavn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	40.9%	36.4%

HB Tórshavn - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. HB Tórshavn will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Derry will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mork B. (G) 6. Sorensen H. 17. Wardum B. 5. Askham H. 3. Davidsen V. (C) 7. Justinussen A. 18. Berger E. 8. Soylu D. 10. Samuelsen A. 11. Borchers M. 22. Jonsson A. M.	1. Maher B. (G) 2. Boyce R. 6. Connolly M. 16. McEleney S. 17. McJannett C. (C) 15. Diallo S. 23. Dummigan C. 12. McMullan P. 14. Doherty B. 7. Duffy M. 21. Mullen D.
Substitutes
12. Askham T. (G) 28. Chukwudi S. 19. Dahl M. 1. Gestsson T. (G) 4. Hansen H. 9. Jensen T. 27. Johansen D. 15. Mohr H. 21. Mouritsen E. 23. Praest M. 14. Thomsen J.	3. Coll C. 20. Kavanagh B. 29. Kavanagh C. 45. Lemoignan J. (G) 10. McEleney P. 22. McEneff J. 9. McGonigle J. 8. Patching W. 26. Ryan T. (G)
Coaches
Joensen J.	Higgins R.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Derry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently HB Tórshavn have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Tórshavn
Faroe Islands Premier League
02.07.23	KÍ Klaksvík - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Cup
28.06.23	07 Vestur - HB Tórshavn	1:1 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
25.06.23	07 Vestur - HB Tórshavn	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	HB Tórshavn - B36 Torshavn	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	B68 Toftir - HB Tórshavn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWW
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
07.07.23	Derry City - Sligo Rovers	2:1 ✺
30.06.23	Shelbourne - Derry City	1:1 ✺
26.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:0 ✺
23.06.23	Derry City - Cork City	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLWT

Upcoming Matches