Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Denoek (Hoek)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)


	HSV Hoek		Telstar

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.41	Watch
	6.4	4.7	1.43
	6.05	4.6	1.46
	5.29	3.99	1.57	Watch
	5.75	4.33	1.44
	6.03	4.5	1.46	Watch
	6	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (4.78)	4.45 ↑ (4.25)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hoek
15.6%

Draw
20.8%

Telstar
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

21.6%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.1%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hoek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

HSV Hoek - Telstar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Standaert M. (G) 2. de Poorter R. 3. Pengel J. 21. Martens G. (C) 25. den Engelsman W. 5. de Nooijer Y. 13. Hebbelinck K. 14. Van Hauter R. 18. Bouihrouchane H. 9. Hage S. 17. Sula D.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 9. Zonneveld M.
Substitutes
10. Aelterman N. 11. Delannoy G. 8. Lijbers T. 4. Lion J. 1. Murre F. (G) 19. Ngongo J. 16. Steenpoorte M. 6. Vandecandelaere G. 23. van den Ameele B. 15. van Gogh R.	13. Bodak T. (G) 19. Hagedoorn S. 10. Hamdaoui M. 7. Hetli S. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 5. Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K.
Coaches
de Nooijer G.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Bakker D. 🟨,
30', Hage S. ↓, Aelterman N. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Owusu T. ⚽, Zonneveld M. (A),
34', de Nooijer G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Brouwer P. ⚽, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (A),
65', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
65', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
69', Pengel J. ↓, Delannoy G. ↑,
77', Van Hauter R. 🟨,
78', Bouihrouchane H. ↓, van Gogh R. ↑,
78', Van Hauter R. ↓, Steenpoorte M. ↑,
78', Bakker D. ↓, Nwankwo N. ↑,
79', Owusu T. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Offerhaus G. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Martens G. ⚽, den Engelsman W. (A),
85', Brouwer P. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
90+1', den Engelsman W. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 4, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Tejan K. (A),
90+4', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Telstar is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hoek
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	HSV Hoek - De Treffers	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - HSV Hoek	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	HSV Hoek - BVV Barendrecht	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Jong Almere City - HSV Hoek	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	HSV Hoek - Amsterdamsche FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWT
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Telstar - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Twente - Telstar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTLTT

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