Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hamburger SV		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.6	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.25
	1.5	4.5	5.7
	1.54	4.6	6.09
	1.47	4.33	5.8	Watch
	1.49	4.6	5.8	Watch
	1.5	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.59 ↑ (4.1)	5.86 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
63.2%

Draw
20.6%

Sandhausen
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	6.5%	12.9%

Hamburger SV - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Hamburg has the most likely position - 1 (29.82%), has project points - 62, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (20.84%), has project points - 35, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 61, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hamburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hamburg is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	3:1 ✺
30.10.22	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
23.10.22	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Sandhausen - Heidenheim	3:4 ✺
04.11.22	Hansa Rostock - Sandhausen	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Sandhausen - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Jahn Regensburg - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
19.10.22	Sandhausen - Karlsruher	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.02.22	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	1:1
11.09.21	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	2:1
22.04.21	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	2:1
15.12.20	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	4:0
28.06.20	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	1:5
15.12.19	Sandhausen - Hamburger SV	1:1
30.01.19	Hamburger SV - Sandhausen	2:1

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