Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	17:30	Fast Sports
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	09:30	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:30	ESPN 5
Finland	16:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Georgia	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 4
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:30	Disney+, FOX One, FOX Sports
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Paraguay	09:30	ESPN 5
Peru	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, TVP Polonia
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	RB Leipzig		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.40	5.25	6.50	Watch
	1.41	5.50	6.25
	1.35	5.40	7.00	Watch
	1.41	5.80	7.06
	1.34	6.04	7.3	Watch
	1.38	5.45	7.15
	1.43	5.48	7.41	Watch
	1.42	5.60	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	5.57 ↑ (5.25)	6.93 ↓ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
68.9%

Draw
17.2%

Hamburger SV
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

16.5%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	11.5%	7.7%

RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Hamburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 6. Banzuzi E. 21. El Aynaoui N. 8. Ouedraogo A. 10. Gruda B. 27. Gomis T. 7. Nusa A.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 43. Nandja S. 23. Torunarigha J. 24. Capaldo N. 7. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. (C) 3. Wolfe D. 27. Daka P. 11. Gronbaek A. 15. Poulsen Y.
Substitutes
17. Baku R. 3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 9. Guiu M. 30. Maksimovic A. 28. Nkunku C. 1. Nyland O. (G) 40. Romulo Cardoso 13. Seiwald N.	5. Adeline M. 18. Jatta B. 37. Lemke L. 9. Moffi T. 4. Nadir B. 17. Omari W. 19. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G) 20. Vieira F.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Capaldo N. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Gomis T. ⚽, Banzuzi E. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Nusa A. ⚽,
35', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Poulsen Y. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
48', Lukeba C. 🟨,
71', Nandja S. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Orban W. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
73', Daka P. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
73', Nandja S. ↓, Omari W. ↑,
74', Henrichs B. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
74', Gomis T. ↓, Romulo Cardoso ↑,
74', Lukeba C. ↓, Esteve M. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
77', 5 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ⚽,
78', Nusa A. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
78', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
89', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Reitz R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Amoako K. (Illness) Bornauw S. (Muscle Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Eintracht Trier - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
06.09.26	Hamburger SV - Mainz	0:5 ✺
29.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Verl - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Hamburger SV - Everton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
01.03.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:2
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	4:0
23.04.19	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:3
German Bundesliga
27.01.18	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	1:1
08.09.17	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	0:2
11.02.17	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	0:3

Upcoming Matches