Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hansa Rostock		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.37	3.8	2.65
	2.3	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.44	4.09	2.68
	2.37	4.1	2.68
	2.3	3.8	2.6	Watch
	2.41	3.9	2.61	Watch
	2.34	3.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	2.68 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
40.1%

Draw
24.6%

Paderborn
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	5.6%	22.2%

Hansa Rostock - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hansa Rostock: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolke M. (C) 7. Neidhart N. 17. David J. 4. Rossbach D. 21. Rossipal A. 6. Dressel D. 8. Rhein S. 13. Schumacher K. 26. Bachmann J. 14. Ingelsson S. 10. Froling N.	1. Boevink P. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 16. Musliu V. 4. Brackelmann C. 8. Kinsombi D. (C) 27. Klefisch K. 26. Klaas S. 32. Zehnter A. 7. Bilbija F. 10. Kostons K. 29. Ansah I.
Substitutes
45. Gudjohnsen S. 5. Husing O. 40. Johansson M. (G) 27. Kinsombi C. 34. Lang J. 18. Perea J. 24. Strauss J. 22. van der Werff J. 19. Vasiliadis S.	11. Conteh S. 47. de Jong T. 43. Ens M. 39. Grimaldi A. 24. Heuer J. 13. Leipertz R. 36. Platte F. 45. Pledl M. 35. Schulz A. (G)
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Kinsombi D. ↓, Heuer J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rhein S. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽,
59', Ansah I. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
59', Brackelmann C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
64', Froling N. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
69', Bilbija F. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,
71', Klaas S. ↓, Platte F. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Platte F. ⚽, Leipertz R. (A),
80', Schumacher K. ↓, Strauss J. ↑,
80', Bachmann J. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
83', Musliu V. 🟨,
85', David J. ↓, Husing O. ↑,
87', Vasiliadis S. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Zehnter A. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 0.

Hansa Rostock has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paderborn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paderborn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Paderborn to win the game is with odds 2.81.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hansa Rostock won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
11.05.24	Schalke 04 - Hansa Rostock	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Hansa Rostock - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Hertha Berlin - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
10.05.24	Paderborn - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Hannover - Paderborn	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	Paderborn - Elversberg	3:1 ✺
19.04.24	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Paderborn - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0
15.04.23	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	3:0
08.10.22	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	0:3
30.04.22	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	0:0
28.11.21	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
10.03.18	Hansa Rostock - Paderborn	2:3
22.09.17	Paderborn - Hansa Rostock	2:1

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