Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Schalke 04		Hansa Rostock

	1	X	2
	1.91	4	3.5	Watch
	1.93	3.9	3.5
	1.87	4	3.6	Watch
	1.91	4.22	3.7
	1.93	4.13	3.62
	1.85	3.9	3.5	Watch
	1.92	3.92	3.63	Watch
	1.92	4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.75)	4.01 ↓ (4.08)	3.58 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
49.8%

Draw
23.7%

Hansa Rostock
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Hansa Rostock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Schalke 04 - Hansa Rostock Predictions

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Muller M. (G) 51. Van Der Sloot S. 22. Cisse I. 35. Kaminski M. 2. Ouwejan T. 7. Seguin P. 6. Schallenberg R. 19. Karaman K. 43. Ouedraogo A. 9. Terodde S. (C) 42. Topp K.	1. Kolke M. (C) 17. David J. 4. Rossbach D. 21. Rossipal A. 7. Neidhart N. 19. Vasiliadis S. 6. Dressel D. 14. Ingelsson S. 26. Bachmann J. 28. Singh S. 9. Proger K.
Substitutes
27. Brunner C. 18. Idrizi B. 17. Kabadayi Y. 34. Langer M. (G) 11. Lasme B. 8. Latza D. 41. Matriciani H. 29. Mohr T. 10. Tempelmann L.	45. Gudjohnsen S. 5. Husing O. 40. Johansson M. (G) 49. Junior Brumado 27. Kinsombi C. 18. Perea J. 8. Rhein S. 13. Schumacher K. 24. Strauss J.
Coaches
Geraerts K.	Selimbegovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
25', Van Der Sloot S. 🟨,
27', Muller M. 🟨,
27', Proger K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Singh S. ⚽, Proger K. (A),
45+5', 2 - 1, Seguin P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ouwejan T. ↓, Matriciani H. ↑,
66', Neidhart N. ↓, Strauss J. ↑,
66', Proger K. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
66', Vasiliadis S. ↓, Husing O. ↑,
69', Singh S. 🟥,
71', Cisse I. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
81', Bachmann J. ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
81', David J. ↓, Schumacher K. ↑,
81', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Kabadayi Y. ↑,
88', Topp K. ↓, Latza D. ↑,
89', Terodde S. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
90', Strauss J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Schalke is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hansa Rostock is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hansa Rostock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schalke will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Schalke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.24	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:4 ✺
27.04.24	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Hannover - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTWT
- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
04.05.24	Hansa Rostock - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Hertha Berlin - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
05.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.12.23	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:2
05.03.22	Schalke 04 - Hansa Rostock	3:4
25.09.21	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:2
Club Friendly
19.07.14	Hansa Rostock - Schalke 04	0:3

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