The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 55.6%
Draw 25.6%
Harrogate Town 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.4%
21.9%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.8%
20.8%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harrogate Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 15. Drummond K. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 11. Stevens J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 27. Hammond O.
13. Gray H. (C) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 21. Taylor E. 19. Hill T. 22. Smith R. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 21. Hawkes J. 3. Leake J. 26. Payne K. 40. Simeu D. 7. Taylor K.
12. Acquah E. 38. Brenan T. 24. Cass L. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 23. Sutton E. 17. Sutton L. 33. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Mellon M.
Weaver S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Headman C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hammond O. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
51', Sutton W. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
52', Drummond K. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
58', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
59', Evans J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Leake J. ⚽, Monthe M. (A),
64', Muldoon J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
65', Hill T. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
65', Taylor E. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
75', Headman C. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
77', Smith R. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
80', Garner J. 🟨,
87', Monthe M. 🟨,
90+6', Woods R. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Oldham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Oldham is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
We predict that Oldham will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).