Match Info

League Two - Round 42

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Harrogate Town		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.57
	2.6	3.3	2.55
	2.52	3.35	2.68
	2.57	3.52	2.7
	2.45	3.25	2.83	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.63
	2.62	3.23	2.65	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.94)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.61 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
36%

Draw
28.2%

Bristol Rovers
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 22. Smith R. 38. Brenan T. 21. Taylor E. 12. Acquah E.	13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 6. Mola C. 26. Harbottle R. (C) 2. Senior J. 14. Thompson-Sommers K. 20. McEachran J. 15. De Havilland R. 7. Forde S. 10. Akhamrich Y. 27. Quigley J.
Substitutes
6. Burrell W. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 20. Faulkner B. 9. McCoulsky S. 17. Sutton L. 7. Thomson G. 33. Waller S. (G)	29. Cavegn F. 19. Harrison E. 5. Kilgour A. 24. Leigh T. 12. Lockyer T. 35. Rijks M. 1. Southwood L. (G)
Coaches
Weaver S.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Leigh T. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
58', Acquah E. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Harrison E. ⚽,
64', McEachran J. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
72', De Havilland R. ↓, Kilgour A. ↑,
72', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
75', Headman C. 🟨,
76', Slater J. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Harrison E. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Headman C. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 16).

Recent performances by Harrogate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bristol Rovers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B. (Inactive) Marsh A. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Bristol Rovers: 8.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.97%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
03.04.26	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Harrogate Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Harrogate Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLWL
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
03.04.26	Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gillingham - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bromley - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:1
12.03.22	Bristol Rovers - Harrogate Town	3:0
30.10.21	Harrogate Town - Bristol Rovers	0:1

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