Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 46

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday

Location: EnviroVent Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Boyeson C. (Eng)


	Harrogate Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6
	2	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.7	3.6
	2.01	3.72	3.59
	2	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.72	3.52	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
47.1%

Draw
25.9%

Rochdale
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Harrogate Town - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Harrogate has the most likely position - 19 (30.98%), project points - 53, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (100%), project points - 38, currently - 37, already of relegated.

Harrogate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Harrogate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Harrogate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
29.04.23	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Newport County - Harrogate Town	2:3 ✺
22.04.23	Northampton Town - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
18.04.23	Harrogate Town - Walsall	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLWT
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
29.04.23	Rochdale - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
22.04.23	Stockport County - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
18.04.23	Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Rochdale - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
10.04.23	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.12.22	Rochdale - Harrogate Town	1:4
12.02.22	Rochdale - Harrogate Town	3:3
English League Cup
10.08.21	Harrogate Town - Rochdale	Rochdale walkover
English League Two
07.08.21	Harrogate Town - Rochdale	3:2

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