The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 19.4%
Draw 25.5%
Port Vale 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
26.8%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
26.2%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
28.6%
71.4%
Harrogate Town - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (C) 14. Sims T. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 3. Foulds M. 21. Taylor E. 22. Dooley S. 8. Cornelius D. 11. Daly J. 10. Daly M. 18. Muldoon J.
1. Ripley C. (G) 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 22. Debrah J. 18. Croasdale R. 20. Sang T. 15. Grant C. 8. Garrity B. (C) 11. Curtis R. 17. Paton R. 19. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 6. Burrell W. 9. Duke-McKenna S. 4. Falkingham J. 12. Folarin S. 24. March J. 1. Oxley M. (G)
13. Amos B. (G) 37. Baker-Boaitey B. 27. Cover B. 32. Hackford A. 16. Lowe J. 26. Richards R. 9. Stockley J.
Coaches
Weaver S.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Moon J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Paton R. ⚽,
63', Muldoon J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
66', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
66', Paton R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
69', Daly J. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
74', Grant C. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
78', Curtis R. 🟨,
85', Sims T. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
85', Cornelius D. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
89', Cover B. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Recent matches Harrogate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Harrogate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Harrogate Town - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.58%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Belshaw J. (C) 
Sims T. 
O'Connor A. 
Dooley S. 
Cornelius D. 
Tolaj L. 
Duke-McKenna S. 
Folarin S. 
Cover B. 
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