Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Hartlepool United		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	4
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2	3.4	3.9
	2.01	3.2	3.75
	2.05	3.38	3.99
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.1	3.34	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
46.6%

Draw
28.8%

Bristol Rovers
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

19.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartlepool United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (12.8%), has project points - 50, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 3 (5.63%), has project points - 67, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol Rovers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartlepool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English League Two
04.09.21	Tranmere Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Carlisle United - Hartlepool United	4:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
28.08.21	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Hartlepool United - Walsall	2:0 ✺
14.08.21	Barrow - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
04.09.21	Bristol Rovers - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
28.08.21	Barrow - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	4:1 ✺
17.08.21	Bristol Rovers - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.03.16	Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United	4:1
29.09.15	Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers	0:3
15.03.14	Hartlepool United - Bristol Rovers	4:0
21.09.13	Bristol Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:2

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