The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sandhausen 19.3%
Draw 23.5%
Paderborn 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
25.2%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
24.6%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandhausen's form might have worsened.
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Sandhausen - Paderborn Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.9% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 6).
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (70.1%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (90%), not chance of promoted.
Paderborn has the most likely position - 4 (37.69%), project points - 56, currently - 46, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality26, small importance24, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 0.
Sandhausen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Paderborn is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
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Netherlands
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Sweden
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