The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 27.5%
Draw 24.9%
Willem II 47.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.1%
22.6%
59.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.2%
21.4%
62.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Helmond Sport - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 4. Koglin B. (C) 14. Golic L. 43. Landheer T. 20. Dekkers S. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 5. Poll T. 10. Huiberts D. 94. Lenaerts M. 34. Essakkati T.
26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 83. Lemmens M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Twigt C. 18. Zarrouk A. 50. Gurbuz E. 10. Schuurman J. 32. van Crooij V. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
9. Bajrami L. 11. Cicero L. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 47. Geerts D. 19. Ingason H. 8. Llonch P. 35. Meissner N. 2. van Bree R. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 7. van der Sluijs J. 21. van Sleeuwen W. (G)
8. Boogaard K. 2. Ciranni A. 11. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 7. Slory J. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T. 52. Vilhena T.
Coaches
Frans F.
Koster A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
2', Koglin B. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Ludwig M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Gurbuz E. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Gurbuz E. ⚽, Stam F. (A),
42', 1 - 3, Gurbuz E. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zarrouk A. ↓, Vilhena T. ↑,
46', Poll T. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
53', 1 - 4, Vilhena T. ⚽, ter Avest H. (A),
56', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
56', Huiberts D. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
58', ter Avest H. ↓, Et Taibi A. ↑,
58', Schuurman J. ↓, Slory J. ↑,
62', Gurbuz E. 🟨,
66', Haen D. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
72', 2 - 4, Bajrami L. ⚽, Ludwig M. (A),
73', Lemmens M. 🟨,
73', van der Sluijs J. 🟨,
74', Koglin B. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
78', Slory J. 🟥,
83', Gurbuz E. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
85', 3 - 4, Bajrami L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
In recent outings, both teams have suffered multiple defeats and urgently need a reaction.
Willem II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Willem II holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Helmond Sport has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:23 (averaging 0.9:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Helmond Sport against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:12 goals (averaging 1:2.4 per game).
Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now
Willem II: 0.87%
Last Results with these Odds
Willem II - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.38%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.