Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Erve Asito (Almelo)

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Heracles Almelo		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.68	3.95	4.4
	1.71	3.7	4.3
	1.74	3.98	4.75
	1.7	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.84	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)	4.49 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
54.6%

Draw
24.6%

FC Eindhoven
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for FC Eindhoven have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Heracles Almelo - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 18 - 75%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Heracles is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches FC Eindhoven is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently FC Eindhoven have a series of home games.

In this match Heracles is a favorite.

There will not play in Heracles: Azzaoui I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: De Keersmaecker B. (Injury) Huybers J. (Knock) van den Bos M. (Knock)

Our prediction for today's Heracles to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	2:3 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	Zwolle - Heracles Almelo	3:2 ✺
07.10.22	Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap	3:2 ✺
30.09.22	Den Bosch - Heracles Almelo	1:2 ✺
23.09.22	Heracles Almelo - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	FC Eindhoven - Willem II	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.10.22	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	ADO Den Haag - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	FC Eindhoven - Roda	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTT

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