Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 35

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Erve Asito (Almelo)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Heracles Almelo		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	11
	1.22	6.25	9.5
	1.26	5.75	9.5
	1.24	6.62	11.31
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.23	6.55	11	Watch
	1.22	6.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	6.12 ↑ (4.65)	10.59 ↑ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
75.9%

Draw
15.3%

Jong PSV
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.6%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.6%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Heracles Almelo - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 14).

Heracles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jong PSV is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Heracles is absolute favorite.

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong PSV: Jansen K. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.04.23	Helmond Sport - Heracles Almelo	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Heracles Almelo - Roda	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo	5:3 ✺
31.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLTW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.23	Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
17.04.23	Jong Ajax - Jong PSV	5:4 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
13.04.23	Fulham U21 - Jong PSV	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.23	Dordrecht - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
03.04.23	Jong PSV - Roda	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.22	Jong PSV - Heracles Almelo	0:3

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