Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 33

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Erve Asito (Almelo)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)


	Heracles Almelo		Roda

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.6	6
	1.38	4.9	6.75
	1.45	4.94	6.81
	1.38	4.33	7	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.2	Watch
	1.39	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.75 ↑ (4.59)	6.69 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
66.3%

Draw
19.7%

Roda
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.9%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Heracles Almelo - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 4.

Heracles is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Roda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Heracles is certain favorite.

There will not play in Roda: Roseler N. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Heracles won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.23	De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo	5:3 ✺
31.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
17.03.23	FC Oss - Heracles Almelo	1:5 ✺
10.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.23	Roda - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Jong PSV - Roda	5:1 ✺
19.03.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1 ✺
13.03.23	Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Roda - Telstar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.12.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	1:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	2:3 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
02.03.18	Roda - Heracles Almelo	0:3
23.09.17	Heracles Almelo - Roda	2:1
11.02.17	Heracles Almelo - Roda	2:2
07.08.16	Roda - Heracles Almelo	1:1
28.02.16	Heracles Almelo - Roda	0:5

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