Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Heracles Almelo		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.4
	2.12	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.65
	2.12	3.42	3.49	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.09	3.5	3.49	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	3.47 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
44.8%

Draw
27.8%

Almere City
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Heracles Almelo - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. 24. Mesik I. 12. Roosken R. 14. De Keersmaecker B. (C) 32. Scheperman S. 29. Podgoreanu S. 8. Engels M. 10. Zand S. 19. Kulenovic L.	1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 8. Tahiri A. 17. Hansen K. 9. Robinet T. (C) 11. Kadile J. 21. Guillaume B.
Substitutes
5. Bruijn J. 17. Bruns T. 21. Hoogma J. 16. Jansink T. (G) 18. Leerdam K. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 28. Sambo G. 26. van Kaam D.	23. Balboa A. 6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 19. Haye T. 3. Jacobs Jo. 25. Mamengi C. 24. Mattoir F. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
Coaches
van de Looi E.	Maduro H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Tahiri A. 🟨,
11', Benita M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Tahiri A. ↓, Haye T. ↑,
64', Lawrence J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
67', Scheperman S. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
69', Podgoreanu S. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
77', Kulenovic L. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
78', Guillaume B. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
89', Kadile J. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
90+5', Delaurier-Chaubet L. 🟨,

Preview

Heracles is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Almere City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Heracles will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Heracles: Bultman S. (Injury) Cestic S. (Ankle Injury) Hornkamp J. (Knee Injury) Zamburek J. (Knee Injury) van Oorschot D. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
01.09.24	Zwolle - Heracles Almelo	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
11.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL
- Almere City FC
Club Friendly
04.09.24	ADO Den Haag - Almere City	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.08.24	Almere City - Groningen	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Almere City - PSV Eindhoven	1:7 ✺
16.08.24	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Almere City - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.03.24	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	2:2
26.11.23	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	0:5
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.03.23	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	1:1
28.10.22	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	3:2
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Heracles Almelo - Almere City	2:1

Upcoming Matches