Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Helmond Sport		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.7	2.1	Watch
	2.98	3.45	2.18
	1.81	3.65	3.91	Watch
	3	3.7	2.15
	3.55	3.65	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.61)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	2.45 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
33.9%

Draw
26.7%

Zwolle
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24.2%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zwolle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwolle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Helmond Sport - Zwolle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Helmond Sport (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zwolle will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zwolle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 8. Llonch P. (C) 26. Makanza N. 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 9. Bajrami L.	16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 42. Ruward D. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. (C) 2. Floranus S. 34. Fichtinger N. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Shoretire S. 25. Oosting T. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 4. Koglin B. 6. Ludwig M. 16. Lukowicz M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)	43. Aelbers L. 29. Buitink T. 19. Faberski J. 45. Holtman J. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 38. Renwarin G. 1. Schendelaar J. (G) 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
Seegers J.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Daneels L. ⚽, Leipold A. (A),
22', 1 - 1, de Rooij K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Shoretire S. ⚽, Oosting T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Essakkati T. 🟨,
60', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
61', Et Taibi A. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
65', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Oosting T. ⚽, Mbayo D. (A),
79', Aertssen O. ↓, Renwarin G. ↑,
79', Essakkati T. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,
79', Shoretire S. ↓, Lagsir S. ↑,
80', Llonch P. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
81', Renwarin G. 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Oosting T. ⚽, Lagsir S. (A),
87', Kostons K. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
87', Ruward D. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
88', Makanza N. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,

Preview

Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zwolle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Helmond Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zwolle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:2 ✺
03.10.25	Helmond Sport - Almere City	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Willem II - Helmond Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	NAC Breda - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Heerenveen - Zwolle	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.10.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Volendam - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.05.23	Helmond Sport - Zwolle	2:3
12.12.22	Zwolle - Helmond Sport	1:0
Club Friendly
20.07.21	Zwolle - Helmond Sport	3:0

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