Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Kenya	13:15	Gotv
Netherlands	12:15	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	11:15	SupeSport ESPN 1
South Africa	12:15	SupeSport ESPN


	Twente		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9	Watch
	1.35	5.5	7.75
	1.28	5.85	9.7
	1.31	5.98	9.61
	1.42	4.19	8.26	Watch
	1.32	5.66	9.3	Watch
	1.32	5.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.5 ↑ (5.08)	8.8 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
71.8%

Draw
17.3%

Heracles Almelo
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.4%

18.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

17.6%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Twente - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Twente (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Twente (2.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Twente (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Twente (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Twente will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 38. Bruns M. 3. Propper R. (C) 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.	1. de Keijzer F. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 13. Zamburek J. 70. Hrustic A. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 7. Limbombe B. 9. Hornkamp J. 17. van Gilst T.
Substitutes
8. Booth T. 21. Karssies S. (G) 5. Kuipers B. 43. Nijstad R. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.	10. Bruns T. 8. Engels M. 16. Jansink T. (G) 19. Kulenovic L. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 73. Ould Chikh W. 23. te Wierik M. 5. van der Kust D. 3. Wieckhoff J.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Sibum B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Propper R. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Mesik I. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
45+4', Mesik I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Benita M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
46', Hrustic A. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Bruns M. ⚽, Zerrouki R. (A),
61', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
78', van Gilst T. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
78', Limbombe B. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
86', Hlynsson K. ↓, Booth T. ↑,
86', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
86', van Rooij B. 🟥,
87', Borges Sanches Y. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
90+2', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
90+3', Zamburek J. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.

Twente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heracles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)

There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Scheperman S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Excelsior - Twente	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Heerenveen - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.03.25	Heracles Almelo - Twente	2:1
27.10.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	5:0
31.03.24	Twente - Heracles Almelo	1:0
22.10.23	Heracles Almelo - Twente	2:2
30.04.22	Heracles Almelo - Twente	1:1
05.11.21	Twente - Heracles Almelo	1:0
08.05.21	Twente - Heracles Almelo	1:1

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