What is the expert prediction for Hoffenheim vs Freiburg?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hoffenheim vs Freiburg. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Hoffenheim vs Freiburg live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 14, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid, Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.76	4.04	4.65
	1.74	4.02	4.43	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.2
	1.79	4.12	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	3.95 (3.95)	4.5 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Freiburg
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	12.5%	3.6%

banner

Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Hoffenheim (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Hoffenheim (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 28 - 96.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 27. Kramaric A. 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 29. Toure B. 11. Asllani F.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 22. Irie C. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 48. Djuric L. 45. Frees K. 15. Gendrey V. 49. Lassig V. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A.	19. Beste J. 32. Grifo V. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 37. Rosenfelder M. 65. Steinmann K.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Vossler L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Toure B. 🟨,
24', Promel G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Irie C. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
51', 2 - 0, Kabak O. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
53', Kabak O. 🟨,
55', Osterhage P. 🟨,
57', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
57', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
72', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
73', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
74', Asllani F. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
86', Kramaric A. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
88', Treu P. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
90+4', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Gendrey V. ⚽, Prass A. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 0.

Hoffenheim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Akpoguma K. (Red Card) Bernardo (Injury) Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Lemperle T. (Ankle Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Manzambi J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

banner

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hoffenheim	30	16	6	8	59:44	15	54
7	Freiburg	30	12	7	11	44:48	-4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW
- SC Freiburg
German DFB Pokal
10.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1
19.04.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2
08.12.24	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	1:1
20.01.24	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2
19.08.23	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	1:2
12.03.23	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	2:1
18.09.22	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	0:0

Upcoming Matches