Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.76	4.04	4.65
	1.74	4.02	4.43	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.79	4.12	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	3.95 (3.95)	4.5 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Freiburg
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	12.5%	3.6%

Hoffenheim - Freiburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Hoffenheim (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 26 - 96.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 27. Kramaric A. 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 29. Toure B. 11. Asllani F.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 22. Irie C. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 48. Djuric L. 45. Frees K. 15. Gendrey V. 49. Lassig V. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A.	19. Beste J. 32. Grifo V. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 37. Rosenfelder M. 65. Steinmann K.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Vossler L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Toure B. 🟨,
24', Promel G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Irie C. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
51', 2 - 0, Kabak O. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
53', Kabak O. 🟨,
55', Osterhage P. 🟨,
57', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
57', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
72', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
73', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
74', Asllani F. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
86', Kramaric A. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
88', Treu P. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
90+4', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Gendrey V. ⚽, Prass A. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 0.

Hoffenheim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Akpoguma K. (Red Card) Bernardo (Injury) Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Lemperle T. (Ankle Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Manzambi J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.77% Hoffenheim: 0.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW
- SC Freiburg
German DFB Pokal
10.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1
19.04.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2
08.12.24	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	1:1
20.01.24	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	3:2
19.08.23	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	1:2
12.03.23	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	2:1
18.09.22	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	0:0

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