Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Hoffenheim		Gent

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.4	5.25	6.75
	1.39	5.4	7.25
	1.39	5.2	6.4
	1.4	5.45	7.23
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.43	5.4	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	5.31 ↑ (5.26)	7.03 ↓ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
68.5%

Draw
18%

Gent
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

18%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

10.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-30.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoffenheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	8.8%	17.6%

Hoffenheim - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 50 - 73.5%). Gent will win (votes: 12 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 63% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Hoffenheim was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Gent has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Hoffenheim is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
07.12.20	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.20	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Slovan Liberec - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.11.20	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTWT
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.20	Oostende - Gent	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Gent - Slovan Liberec	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.20	Gent - Zulte Waregem	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Gent - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.20	Charleroi - Gent	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Gent - Hoffenheim	1:4

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