Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.6
	1.65	3.8	4.65	Watch
	1.68	4.13	5.32
	1.67	4.02	4.85	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.68	3.88	4.65	Watch
	1.68	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.93 ↑ (3.87)	4.86 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
56.7%

Draw
24%

Greuther Fürth
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	19%	0%

Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fürth (3.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Fürth (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holstein Kiel will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fürth (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Krumrey J. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 47. Tolkin J. 28. Meffert J. 8. Tohumcu U. 10. Therkelsen J. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 29. Niehoff N. 19. Harres P.	21. Schlieck T. (G) 25. Bjarnason B. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 23. Dehm J. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 28. Arifi D. 13. Will P. 16. Keller A. 30. Klaus F. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
17. Cvjetinovic M. 15. Davidsen K. 18. Jakupovic A. 20. Kapralik A. 16. Kelati A. 25. Muller M. 40. Parduzi L. 22. Schwab S. 1. Weiner T. (G)	14. Consbruch J. 11. Dardari A. 15. Elvedi J. 18. Higl F. 38. Marita R. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ivezic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Keller A. ⚽, Hrgota B. (A),
59', Niehoff N. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
59', Therkelsen J. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Meffert J. ⚽, Rosenboom L. (A),
66', Hrgota B. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
75', Arifi D. ↓, Marita R. ↑,
75', Srbeny D. ↓, Avlayici M. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Futkeu N. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Skrzybski S. ↓, Kelati A. ↑,
83', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
83', Bjarnason B. ↓, Elvedi J. ↑,
84', Futkeu N. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
90+2', Keller A. 🟨,
90+2', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
90+6', Kelati A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.

Holstein Kiel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fürth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Holstein Kiel is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Consbruch J. (Inactive) Dietz M. (Red Card) Green J. (Inactive) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Holstein Kiel will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.46% Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Servette	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWWTW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
24.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Schweinfurt	5:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	0:2
28.01.24	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	2:1
05.08.23	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	2:1
28.01.23	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	2:1
16.07.22	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	2:2
22.02.21	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	2:1
24.10.20	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:3

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