Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Holstein Kiel		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.9	2.05	Watch
	3	4	2.05	Watch
	3.3	4.09	2.13
	3.29	3.9	2.14
	3	3.9	2	Watch
	3.14	3.98	2.03	Watch
	3.15	4	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.96)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	2.07 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
30.2%

Draw
23.9%

Hamburger SV
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamburg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 17. Becker T. 34. Kleine-Bekel C. 6. Ivezic M. 20. Arp J.-F. 16. Sander P. (C) 15. Schulz M. 3. Komenda M. 10. Holtby L. 7. Skrzybski S. 9. Pichler B.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 13. Ramos G. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Muheim M. 10. Pherai I. 23. Meffert J. (C) 8. Benes L. 18. Jatta B. 9. Glatzel R. 27. Dompe J.
Substitutes
31. Engelhardt M. (G) 19. Fridjonsson H. 13. Machino S. 27. Mees J. 8. Porath F. 22. Remberg N. 18. Rothe T. 11. Simakala B. 32. Sterner J.	3. Heyer M. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 46. Krahn E. 20. Nemeth A. 21. Oztunali L. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 48. Yalcinkaya B. 37. Zumberi V.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Walter T.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1.

Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	3:4 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Hansa Rostock - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Holstein Kiel - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Hamburger SV - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.03.23	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	0:0
09.09.22	Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV	2:3
10.04.22	Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV	1:0
30.10.21	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	1:1
08.03.21	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	1:1
09.11.20	Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV	1:1
08.06.20	Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel	3:3

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