Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3	3.7	2.2
	3.1	3.75	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.85	2.21
	3.09	3.8	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.27	3.91	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)	3.76 ↑ (3.71)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
30.8%

Draw
25.5%

Werder Bremen
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.9%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	12.9%	58.1%

Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Werder will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dahne T. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 26. Zec D. 3. Komenda M. 23. Rosenboom L. 24. Knudsen M. 22. Remberg N. 8. Porath F. 11. Bernhardsson A. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 19. Harres P.	1. Zetterer M. (G) 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. 4. Stark N. 8. Weiser M. 14. Lynen S. 27. Agu F. 6. Stage J. 20. Schmid R. 15. Burke O. 7. Ducksch M.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 17. Becker T. 37. Gigovic A. 10. Holtby L. 5. Johansson C. 18. Machino S. 9. Pichler B. 47. Tolkin J. 1. Weiner T. (G)	9. Andre Silva 30. Backhaus M. (G) 10. Bittencourt L. 17. Grull M. 3. Jung A. 19. Kohn D. 22. Malatini J. 11. Njinmah J. 42. Topp K.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
24', Remberg N. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Ducksch M. ⚽,
26', Ivezic M. 🟨,
35', Ivezic M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
35', Rosenboom L. ↓, Becker T. ↑,
35', Harres P. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Bernhardsson A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Agu F. ⚽,
61', Remberg N. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
73', Burke O. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
73', Ducksch M. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
77', Porath F. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
82', Stage J. 🟨,
85', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
89', Pieper A. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
89', Schmid R. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Grull M. ⚽, Weiser M. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Werder is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Werder will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.03.25	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLTWL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
15.03.25	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:4 ✺
08.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
25.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.02.25	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.22	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:3
27.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	2:1

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