Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 7
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 7
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 5
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	15	6.5	1.18	Watch
	17	7	1.19	Watch
	15.3	7.34	1.22
	15.28	7.01	1.22	Watch
	12	6.5	1.22	Watch
	16.7	7.25	1.2	Watch
	17	7	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.47 ↑ (8.94)	6.94 ↑ (6.3)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
6.2%

Draw
13.8%

Bayer Leverkusen
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

15.2%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	7%	90.7%

Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 99.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (C) 6. Ivezic M. 26. Zec D. 3. Komenda M. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Remberg N. 33. Javorcek D. 37. Gigovic A. 24. Knudsen M. 19. Harres P. 18. Machino S.	17. Kovar M. (G) 12. Tapsoba E. 4. Tah J. (C) 3. Hincapie P. 30. Frimpong J. 34. Xhaka G. 8. Andrich R. 20. Grimaldo A. 21. Adli A. 10. Wirtz F. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
20. Arp J.-F. 17. Becker T. 21. Dahne T. (G) 31. Engelhardt M. (G) 14. Geschwill M. 10. Holtby L. 16. Kelati A. Y. 15. Schulz M.	13. Arthur 22. Boniface V. 16. Buendia E. 24. Garcia A. 5. Hermoso M. 7. Hofmann J. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 23. Mukiele N. 25. Palacios E.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Adli A. (A),
12', Knudsen M. 🟨,
24', Zec D. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Adli A. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
63', Zec D. ↓, Becker T. ↑,
63', Knudsen M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
70', Adli A. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
75', Gigovic A. ↓, Kelati A. Y. ↑,
75', Javorcek D. 🟨,
78', Hincapie P. 🟨,
78', Javorcek D. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
82', Komenda M. 🟨,
83', Frimpong J. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
83', Schick P. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bayer have a series of home games.

In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury) Pichler B. (Muscle Injury) Porath F. (Muscle Injury) Skrzybski S. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
16.02.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Bayern Munich - Holstein Kiel	4:3 ✺
24.01.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
05.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	3:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
02.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Sparta Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel	2:2

Upcoming Matches