The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huddersfield Town 42.9%
Draw 29.9%
Derby County 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
28%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
22.1%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huddersfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huddersfield Town's form might have worsened.
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (+19.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huddersfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.2%
32.3%
22.6%
Huddersfield Town - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Huddersfield will win (votes: 28 - 45.2%). Derby will win (votes: 14 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 32.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Huddersfield: 32.8% – 57.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Huddersfield has the most likely position - 12 (9.85%), has project points - 65, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Derby has the most likely position - 22 (24.48%), has project points - 37, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Huddersfield is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Derby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Huddersfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Huddersfield will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Huddersfield won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Huddersfield won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.
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