Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 5
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Haiti	15:00	Tele Haiti
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Coventry City		Derby County

	1	X	2
	1.56	4	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.93	5.39	Watch
	1.63	4.15	5.45
	1.64	4.04	5.09	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.63	4.13	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	4.01 ↓ (4.29)	5.32 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
58.6%

Draw
23.6%

Derby County
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	19%	19%

Coventry City - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Derby (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 16. Onyeka F. 7. Sakamoto T. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 9. Simms E.	12. O'Donnell R. (G) 23. Ward J. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 2. Murkin D. 18. Ozoh D. 27. Travis L. (C) 25. Brereton Diaz B. 42. Clark B. 34. Banel J. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
21. Bidwell J. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 24. Markelo J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 5. Rudoni J. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L. 11. Wright H.	7. Agyemang P. 54. Allen C. 4. Batth D. 3. Forsyth C. 29. Fraulo O. 44. Gordon I. 51. Price H. (G) 45. Smith C. 16. Thompson L.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Eustace J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Onyeka F. ⚽, Esse R. (A),
29', Travis L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Eccles J. ↓, Rudoni J. ↑,
63', Simms E. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
63', Esse R. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
65', Morris C. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Rudoni J. ⚽,
72', Banel J. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Brereton Diaz B. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 3 - 2, Rudoni J. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
81', Agyemang P. 🟨,
86', Ozoh D. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
90+1', Grimes M. ↓, Torp V. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Coventry is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Dovin O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Derby: Batth D. (Muscle Injury) Elder C. (Toe Injury) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Muscle Injury) Thompson L. (Muscle Injury) Vickers J. (Groin Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Derby: Brewster R. (Injury) Szmodics S. (Injury)

We predict that Coventry will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10:21	-11	7

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Derby: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
21.03.26	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Coventry City - Southampton	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Coventry City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bristol City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Coventry City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- Derby County
English League Championship
21.03.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Millwall - Derby County	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Derby County - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.08.25	Derby County - Coventry City	3:5
11.03.25	Derby County - Coventry City	2:0
06.11.24	Coventry City - Derby County	1:2
19.03.22	Derby County - Coventry City	1:1
English FA Cup
08.01.22	Coventry City - Derby County	1:0
English League Championship
23.10.21	Coventry City - Derby County	1:1
06.03.21	Coventry City - Derby County	1:0

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