Match Info

Date: 19 January 2021, Tuesday


	Hull City		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.6
	1.85	3.4	4.33
	1.8	3.6	4.6
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.67	4.59
	1.78	3.4	4.4
	1.86	3.74	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	4.47 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
52.3%

Draw
26.5%

Accrington Stanley
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

18.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	23.5%	14.7%

Hull City - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 9).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Accrington has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Hull have a series of home games.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hull won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Hull won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
16.01.21	Hull City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Hull City - Fleetwood Town	3:2 ✺
English League One
09.01.21	Sunderland - Hull City	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
18.12.20	Hull City - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWL
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
16.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
English League One
08.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
19.12.20	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
15.12.20	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
11.08.15	Accrington Stanley - Hull City	2:3 penalties

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