Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 36

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.72	3.8	4.9
	1.68	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.79	5.4
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.69	3.78	5	Watch
	1.7	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	5 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
55.6%

Draw
25.6%

Accrington Stanley
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlton Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).

Charlton has the most likely position - 12 (18.63%), has project points - 60, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 21 (16.71%), has project points - 46, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 14, small importance 28, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0.

Charlton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Accrington is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charlton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlton have a series of guest games.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
04.03.23	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Charlton Athletic - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Derby County - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLW
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
07.03.23	Ipswich Town - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Burton Albion - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League One
18.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.07.22	Accrington Stanley - Charlton Athletic	2:2
12.03.22	Accrington Stanley - Charlton Athletic	2:1
19.10.21	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	2:3
01.05.21	Accrington Stanley - Charlton Athletic	1:1
08.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	0:2
19.01.19	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	1:0
18.08.18	Accrington Stanley - Charlton Athletic	1:1

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